Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 66.815953 75.569433 84.526948 94.345665 104.773797 115.488854 127.301178
2025-11-02 53.421672 65.974394 79.410996 94.727330 111.574685 129.425751 149.658006
2025-11-09 44.625953 59.106826 75.153781 93.973534 115.182625 138.117432 164.575397
2025-11-16 38.375373 54.222515 72.338629 94.109930 119.141557 146.654393 178.834036
2025-11-23 32.751871 49.397522 69.017446 93.144166 121.394545 152.896821 190.185621
2025-11-30 29.229047 46.722386 67.896351 94.438844 125.981154 161.559262 204.066148
2025-12-07 26.367275 44.572437 67.165061 95.984238 130.683954 170.214759 217.821713
2025-12-14 22.777956 41.127321 64.561668 95.038695 132.258734 175.111152 227.150378
2025-12-21 19.276883 37.456042 61.405519 93.186866 132.562371 178.375605 234.467114
2025-12-28 18.281209 37.188842 62.574691 96.666037 139.256686 189.108530 250.426509
2026-01-04 16.788467 36.056480 62.500898 98.495273 143.881354 197.355894 263.460460
2026-01-11 14.624978 33.713743 60.654763 97.939212 145.480946 201.936737 272.141345
2026-01-18 12.651069 31.489088 58.869909 97.407953 147.097911 206.560290 280.929566
2026-01-25 11.215423 29.979437 57.986383 97.990442 150.063614 212.783465 291.604099
2026-02-01 9.551807 27.887492 56.139615 97.187548 151.199132 216.727816 299.517663
2026-02-08 8.315322 26.387291 55.053382 97.332747 153.485183 222.033992 309.029436
2026-02-15 6.950210 24.456617 53.205859 96.347413 154.250424 225.425277 316.202811
2026-02-22 6.233152 23.681632 53.056301 97.667016 157.971133 232.441618 327.737246
2026-03-01 5.634711 23.066881 53.110504 99.241696 162.006133 239.838099 339.729955
2026-03-08 4.624245 21.403491 51.414833 98.278243 162.662625 242.999458 346.557495
2026-03-15 3.594277 19.460233 49.138509 96.391098 162.028106 244.495510 351.314514
2026-03-22 3.504567 19.793380 50.618199 99.936370 168.629345 255.082697 367.196653
2026-03-29 3.175834 19.459227 50.953748 101.799940 172.975436 262.830449 379.605596